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Archived: Week 2 NFL Betting Odds, Trends & Injury Report

September 13, 2018

With Week 1 of the 2018 NFL season in the books we quickly turn our attention to Week 2. So, we’re delivering the need-to-know notes for cracking the NFL odds this week, including the multitude of injuries affecting lines, a potential shootout in Pittsburgh and much more.

BALDWIN OUT?

Reports Monday say that Seahawks receiver Doug Baldwin has a Grade 2 partial MCL tear and is in danger of missing Week 2 at Chicago and that’s bad news for an already-thin Seattle receiving corps. If Baldwin can’t go, it’ll leave Brandon Marshall and Tyler Lockett to soak up targets from Russell Wilson.

The Bears opened as a 3-point favorite after their crushing second-half letdown that resulted in a loss to the Packers. But really, that loss was just Aaron Rodgers being Aaron Rodgers (and a terrible blown coverage by the secondary on Randall Cobb’s winner). The takeaway for bettors from that game should be that the Bears looked good. They showed creativity and spark in Matt Nagy’s new offense and Khalil Mack proved his worth in limited snaps. We’ll dig into this game more throughout the week but grab the Bears -3 before the line grows.

TITANS HURTING

Tennessee tight end Delanie Walker is officially out for the season with a busted ankle while quarterback Marcus Mariota left Sunday’s game in the third quarter with an elbow injury. Mariota was replaced by Blaine Gabbert. Coach Mike Vrabel said things were “looking OK” for Mariota, but bettors really shouldn’t be worried about who plays Sunday at home against Houston. Either Mariota will be playing banged up or it’s Blaine Gabbert, who just isn’t very good.

Tennessee’s offense scored just one touchdown against the Dolphins on a run by Dion Lewis. The passing game was brutal, gaining 220 yards on 38 attempts and throwing three interceptions. The Titans are a mess offensively and bettors should look at the team total Under as soon as the line opens.

HOUSTON TO IMPROVE

Let’s keep picking on the Titans. Houston plays its second road game in as many weeks when it travels to Tennessee after Sunday’s 27-20 loss to New England. But let’s look at two key factors from that loss. First, Houston’s offensive line got pushed around by New England’s much-improved defensive line. But with a week of practice, it should be able to give Deshaun Watson some time in the pocket after the Titans did next to nothing in terms of pressuring Ryan Tannehill on Sunday (1 sack, 2 QB hits).

Second, Watson looked rusty. He missed numerous open receivers and it would’ve been a different game had he made a few passes. Rust was to be expected after Watson’s long layoff from his ACL tear last season but make no mistake — Watson is a stud. He’ll be better next week, and the Texans should hammer the Titans. The line isn’t out yet as oddsmakers are likely waiting on Mariota’s availability, but bettors should jump on the Houston spread as soon as it gets posted.

SHOOTOUT COMING IN PITTSBURGH

The Kansas City-Pittsburgh game for Sunday opened with a total of 49.5 and has already jumped to 53. From a Kansas City perspective, it’s easy to see why: Patrick Mahomes, Tyreek Hill, and the rest of the Chiefs offense looked deadly in lighting up the Chargers for 38 points in L.A. This is going to be one of the best offense in the NFL this season.

But bettors might be wondering about Pittsburgh’s six turnovers against Cleveland and thinking the Under might be a decent play. Don’t. The Steelers are a completely different offense at home, especially through the air where they attempted 66 more passes and averaged 54.3 more passing yards per game than they did on the road in 2017. Pittsburgh also plans to run a lot of no-huddle in 2018, something it couldn’t do much of because of the terrible weather in Cleveland in Week 1. The total is high, but it could keep going up — grab the Over 53 before it goes any higher.

WILL RODGERS PLAY IN WEEK 2?

Aaron Rodgers leading the Packers to victory after getting carted off the field with a knee injury was a win for the ages. Rodgers has said he’ll play against Minnesota in Week 2, while coach Mike McCarthy isn’t so sure, saying the team “is still collecting information.” The Packers host the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday afternoon and are currently a 1-point favorite with a total of 46.5, meaning oddsmakers assume Rodgers will indeed play. Keep an eye on the news feed and if there’s even the slightest hint throughout the week that Rodgers will sit, jump on the Vikings as a slight underdog.

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