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2021 MLB Underdog Moneyline Profits

Betting records as of April 14, 2021

With MLB underdogs winning outright 48.4 percent of the time, profits are remaining steady for bettors. If you had backed every MLB underdog so far this season, you’d be up to $2,056.57 in profit. Not a bad return but obviously it could be better.

Road underdogs are crushing it so far this season at 48-50 SU through 98 games and are clearly holding this trend together with profits of $1,470.41 for $100 bettors. MLB, unlike what I reported in the NBA Underdog Report, is a bit different than its sports brethren with its home underdogs being dead weight while road dogs are shouldering the load.

With so many games each day, it’s important to look at the splits to see how this MLB underdog trend is faring. Over the last seven days, it hasn’t been profitable but if you take that sample size and whittle it down to the last three days, you’ll see underdogs are rebounding for moneyline bettors.

2021 MLB Underdog Runline Profits

Betting records as of April 14, 2021

Personally, I don’t usually bet or recommend bettors play +1.5 runlines for MLB underdogs. The juice is often such a squeeze that bettors likely have to wager more than $100 each time just to make the potential returns worth it and then the team you back could still lose by two runs anyway.

However, the fact remains that if you had blindly bet $100 on the +1.5 runline for every MLB underdog, you would have profits, even if they’re minimal at best. When you look at the underdog runline record and see 97-63, that would obviously get bettors excited because an angle is hitting at 60.6 percent. The issue, as I mentioned, is most +1.5 runline odds are -200, or worse in some cases, which seriously negates potential profits. That’s why just taking the moneyline instead of the +1.5 runline in MLB is the more sound investment long term.