Archived: College Basketball Championship Odds
March 3, 2023
https://www.hankwins.com/college-basketball-championship-odds/
4638
January 29, 2024
The San Francisco 49ers opened as 2-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs in...
https://www.hankwins.com/chiefs-vs-49ers-superbowl-preview/
4627
January 16, 2024
Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/- Cal St Nrdge 13-2-0 86.7% 8.7 +6.4 Troy 11-2-1 84.6%...
https://www.hankwins.com/college-basketball-ats-records-2/
4623
January 16, 2024
Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/- Okla City 26-12-1 68.4% 8.7 +5.9 Philadelphia...
https://www.hankwins.com/nba-ats-records-4/
4591
November 3, 2023
We’re into the 2024 portion of the 2023-24 NBA regular season, and the Boston...
https://www.hankwins.com/nba-title-odds/
4534
August 21, 2023
In the past few years, the sports gambling industry has completely taken off and...
https://www.hankwins.com/us-stadiums-with-sportsbooks/
4513
August 17, 2023
As the NFL season begins, we can figure out which teams have the easiest and hardest...
https://www.hankwins.com/nfl-strength-of-schedule/
March 3, 2023
https://www.hankwins.com/college-basketball-championship-odds/
Have you locked in your NCAA March Madness futures bet yet? If not, what are you waiting for exactly? You might want to get on it before your favorite team’s odds start losing some of their value.
The Houston Cougars are the current favorites to win the NCAA Tournament at +650 odds after opening the season at +2000. If the Cougars pull it off and win a title, it will be Houston’s first national championship in school history. They came close about 40 years ago when they lost in the final in both 1983 and 1984..
Team | Odds | Opening Odds |
---|---|---|
Houston | +650 | +2000 |
Kansas | +850 | +1150 |
Alabama | +900 | +4000 |
Purdue | +1000 | +6600 |
UCLA | +1200 | +1600 |
Arizona | +1600 | +1600 |
Baylor | +1800 | +1500 |
Texas | +1800 | +5000 |
UConn | +2000 | +6600 |
Gonzaga | +2500 | +900 |
Tennessee | +2500 | +2500 |
Indiana | +2500 | +3500 |
Virginia | +3000 | +4000 |
The Houston Cougars have gone 27-2 overall on the season. They just keep winning. So how have the Cougars done it? Depth offense and some excellent defensive work. The Cougars boast the No. 1 defense in the nation, allowing only 55.9 points per game.
Houston does an incredible job in denying teams quality shooting real estate and disrupting shooters with what they do give them. Houston’s opponents have averaged an abysmal 35.9 percent from the field on the year. No side in the entire nation is better.
But look, it goes beyond that. Here are all the defensive metrics where Houston either leads or is in the top three (all on a per-game basis):
Not bad, eh? And we all know that defense wins championships. Enough said.
Kansas has gone from +1200 and fifth on the oddsboard to +850 and second overall now. Dropping just one game in their last nine is the key to their jump in the odds table. Among their victories during that stretch, the Jayhawks took out four ranked teams: Kansas State, Texas, Baylor and TCU.
The duo of Jalen Wilson and Gradey Dick has been key for the Jayhawks, averaging a combined 34.5 points, 13.4 rebounds and 4.1 assists per game on the season.
With that one-two punch, Kansas might just win its second championship in two years.
Having the best player in the game at this level helps a lot. Zach Edey has been simply unstoppable this season. The seven-foot-four center is averaging 22.3 points and 12.9 rebounds and is the runaway favorite for the Player of the Year (POY).
But having the best player isn’t enough on its own to win the March Madness tournament. Since 2000, only three POY winners have also won the national title: Shane Battier (Duke, 2001), Anthony Davis (Kentucky, 2012) and Jalen Brunson (Villanova, 2018).
After two prolonged winning streaks over the course of the year, the Boilermakers have alternated wins and losses, including a 68-54 setback to Maryland.
I was already skeptical of Purdue relying on a single player to push them forward, specifically when it comes to the tournament. To see them display these issues at the tail end of the regular season is enough for me to want to fade them in March.
Year | Team | Preseason Odds |
---|---|---|
2022 | Kansas | +1400 (7) |
2021 | Baylor | +800 (1) |
2019 | Virginia | +1350 (6) |
2018 | Villanova | +2700 (7) |
2017 | North Carolina | +1900 (8) |
2016 | Villanova | +2500 (10) |
2015 | Duke | +900 (4) |
2014 | Connecticut | +6500 (14) |
2013 | Louisville | +700 (2) |
2012 | Kentucky | +550 (2) |