Archived: AFC & NFC Championship ATS Trends
January 21, 2021
https://www.hankwins.com/afc-nfc-championship-ats-trends/
4638
January 29, 2024
The San Francisco 49ers opened as 2-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs in...
https://www.hankwins.com/chiefs-vs-49ers-superbowl-preview/
4627
January 16, 2024
Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/- Cal St Nrdge 13-2-0 86.7% 8.7 +6.4 Troy 11-2-1 84.6%...
https://www.hankwins.com/college-basketball-ats-records-2/
4623
January 16, 2024
Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/- Okla City 26-12-1 68.4% 8.7 +5.9 Philadelphia...
https://www.hankwins.com/nba-ats-records-4/
4591
November 3, 2023
We’re into the 2024 portion of the 2023-24 NBA regular season, and the Boston...
https://www.hankwins.com/nba-title-odds/
4534
August 21, 2023
In the past few years, the sports gambling industry has completely taken off and...
https://www.hankwins.com/us-stadiums-with-sportsbooks/
4513
August 17, 2023
As the NFL season begins, we can figure out which teams have the easiest and hardest...
https://www.hankwins.com/nfl-strength-of-schedule/
January 21, 2021
https://www.hankwins.com/afc-nfc-championship-ats-trends/
The NFL’s version of the Final Four is here and these games are absolutely stacked. This season’s conference championships also present a serious challenge for bettors as clear cases can be made for any of the four teams to cover the spread or win straight up. Nailing down a totals pick isn’t exactly a walk in the park either considering weather could be a factor in each matchup.
One thing that is pretty clear-cut, however, is that home teams have dominated this round since 2014, going 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS. Another standout trend that favors the home team could have an impact on the Bucs, who are playing their third consecutive playoff road game. Since 1986, there have been 15 instances of an NFL team playing three straight road playoff games. The previous teams went just 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS. Over the last eight instances, they’re 1-7 SU and ATS.
The home team is 12-2 SU and 10-4 ATS in the last 14 conference finals games.
The lack of success for visitors in this round shouldn’t come as much of a shock. Playing on the road in January can’t be easy, and the home team in most of these games will always be better on paper as evidenced by their higher seed.
But, like I often point out, the past doesn’t always predict the future and all heavily slanted trends eventually regress, so your best bet is to look at each game individually and make your bet based on how the teams match up.