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2022 MLB Underdog Report

May 5, 2022

With MLB historically having the largest win percentage each season for underdog...

4221

Cy Young Award Odds

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Starting pitchers are the linchpin of any successful MLB team. Many pitchers can take...

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2022 MLB World Series Odds

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Dodgers On Top In 2022 MLB World Series Odds Team Odds Los Angeles Dodgers +450 Toronto...

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2022 MLB Changes

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MLB is Back buit will look slightly different in 2022 than it did previously. This is no...

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NBA ATS Records

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The Memphis Grizzlies are still the #1 ATS Team in the NBA! ATS Record: The number of ATS...

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March Madness Insider’s Club!

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Hank Petrello is the founder and president of the most unusual organization in sports...


2022 MLB Underdog Report

May 5, 2022

With MLB historically having the largest win percentage each season for underdog moneylines, it’s time to dive into the numbers for the 2022 MLB Underdog Report.

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2022 MLB Underdog Moneyline Profits

All profits listed based on $100 per bet.

MLB 2022 Underdog SU Records
Situation Underdog SU Records Profits
OVERALL 137-225 (37.8%) -$3808.53
HOME 44-82 (34.9%) -$2414.95
ROAD 93-143 (39.4%) -$1393.58
LAST 3 DAYS 14-21 (40.0%) -$221.0
LAST 7 DAYS 34-58 (37.0%) -$973.99
LAST 14 DAYS 69-115 (37.5%) -$1912.7
LAST 30 DAYS 137-225 (37.8%) -$3808.53
DAY 99-168 (37.1%) -$3504.57
NIGHT 38-57 (40.0%) -$303.96

Betting records as of May 5, 2022

A month into the season, MLB underdogs are winning outright 37.8 percent of the time, leading to profits of -$3,808.53 for $100 bettors. After a down year for dogs in 2021, we may be heading into another favorable year for the baseball faves.


2022 MLB Underdog Runline Profits

MLB 2022 Underdog ATS Records
Situation Underdog ATS Records Profits
OVERALL 203-168 (54.7%) -$2651.19
HOME 65-61 (51.6%) -$1198.23
ROAD 135-101 (57.2%) -$1004.85
LAST 3 DAYS 23-16 (59.0%) -$100.45
LAST 7 DAYS 52-45 (53.6%) -$885.06
LAST 14 DAYS 101-88 (53.4%) -$1745.8
LAST 30 DAYS 203-168 (54.7%) -$2651.19

Betting records as of May 5, 2022


MLB Underdog Report – Days Of The Week

Day Underdog Runline Runline Profits Underdog SU Profits
Monday 19-15 (54.7%) -$147.34 13-20 (37.8%) -$133.0
Tuesday 30-30 (51.6%) -$946.98 14-42 (34.9%) -$2282.0
Wednesday 32-28 (57.2%) -$659.2 23-36 (39.4%) -$540.0
Thursday 23-18 (59.0%) -$177.73 16-24 (40.0%) -$280.99
Friday 28-28 (53.6%) -$968.78 20-36 (37.0%) -$956.87
Saturday 34-27 (53.4%) -$239.12 25-35 (37.5%) +$34.32
Sunday 37-22 (54.7%) +$487.96 26-32 (37.8%) +$350.01

Betting records as of May 5, 2022

Generally, it’s safe to be dismissive of such an absurd trend since teams/matchups and many other betting factors change each day, regardless of where it falls on the calendar.

But in Major League Baseball, it seems certain days just work out better for bettors. In 2021, for example, if you had blindly bet $100 on every underdog moneyline exclusively on Tuesdays, you would’ve been up to $4,072.74 in profit. So far in 2022, the weekend has been a haven for underdog MLB bettors.


MLB Underdog Moneyline Team Report

Team Underdog Win % Underdog SU Record Profit
NY Yankees 100.0 1-0 +$125.0
Milwaukee 66.7 2-1 +$150.0
Colorado 53.3 8-7 +$378.0
Arizona 50.0 13-13 +$628.0
Minnesota 50.0 5-5 +$114.01
Atlanta 50.0 3-3 +$59.09
St. Louis 50.0 5-5 +$67.24
Texas 47.4 9-10 +$195.0
Toronto 44.4 4-5 +$42.0
Houston 42.9 3-4 -$80.0
San Diego 42.9 3-4 -$37.96
Chi Cubs 41.2 7-10 +$28.0
LA Angels 37.5 3-5 -$103.0
Oakland 36.8 7-12 -$45.0
Miami 36.4 4-7 -$178.0
Pittsburgh 36.4 8-14 -$287.0
Baltimore 36.0 9-16 -$176.0
Washington 35.0 7-13 -$190.0
Philadelphia 33.3 2-4 -$159.0
Tampa Bay 33.3 1-2 -$100.0
Detroit 33.3 6-12 -$279.0
Cleveland 33.3 6-12 -$480.96
Kansas City 31.2 5-11 -$480.0
Seattle 31.2 5-11 -$534.0
Boston 30.8 4-9 -$409.0
NY Mets 25.0 1-3 -$170.0
Cincinnati 19.0 4-17 -$1153.99
Chi White Sox 16.7 1-5 -$401.96
San Francisco 16.7 1-5 -$330.0
LA Dodgers 0.0 0-0 +$0.0

Betting records as of May 5, 2022

This chart is particularly helpful for our underdog bets, as some teams are just outperforming others when they’re not expected to win. We’ll see if a team like Seattle (63-51 as an underdog in 2021) carries that performance into the early weeks of 2022.

So far the best MLB underdog has been the Diamondbacks, with a .500 record and massive early-season profits.


MLB Underdog Starting Pitcher Report

Pitcher Profit Record
Logan Gilbert +$514.89 5-0 (100.0%)
Paul Blackburn +$498.12 4-1 (80.0%)
Chad Kuhl +$477.79 4-0 (100.0%)
Jose Berrios +$440.78 5-0 (100.0%)
Bryse Wilson +$433.96 3-0 (100.0%)
Zac Gallen +$360.0 3-1 (75.0%)
Max Scherzer +$354.01 5-0 (100.0%)
Michael Wacha +$343.0 4-1 (80.0%)
Tylor Megill +$336.32 5-1 (83.3%)
Joe Musgrove +$322.92 5-0 (100.0%)
Eric Lauer +$303.85 4-0 (100.0%)
Luis Severino +$288.41 5-0 (100.0%)
Bruce Zimmermann +$277.0 3-2 (60.0%)
Antonio Senzatela +$264.41 3-1 (75.0%)
Pablo Lopez +$261.54 4-1 (80.0%)
Steven Matz +$256.64 4-1 (80.0%)
Ranger Suarez +$227.72 4-1 (80.0%)
Jordan Lyles +$224.0 3-2 (60.0%)
David Peterson +$223.54 3-0 (100.0%)
Josiah Gray +$213.97 3-2 (60.0%)
Spenser Watkins +$200.0 2-2 (50.0%)
Merrill Kelly +$197.0 3-2 (60.0%)
Beau Brieske +$195.0 1-1 (50.0%)
Alek Manoah +$191.73 4-1 (80.0%)
Joe Ryan +$187.89 4-1 (80.0%)
Jameson Taillon +$184.73 4-1 (80.0%)
Jose Quintana +$180.0 3-2 (60.0%)
Spencer Howard +$180.0 1-0 (100.0%)
Patrick Sandoval +$178.49 3-1 (75.0%)
Kyle Wright +$175.43 4-1 (80.0%)
Triston McKenzie +$173.18 3-1 (75.0%)
J.P. Feyereisen +$170.92 2-0 (100.0%)
Dylan Cease +$169.76 4-1 (80.0%)
Drew Rasmussen +$168.11 4-1 (80.0%)
Elieser Hernandez +$165.59 3-2 (60.0%)
Cole Irvin +$165.0 3-2 (60.0%)
JT Brubaker +$161.0 3-2 (60.0%)
Logan Webb +$157.97 4-1 (80.0%)
Cristian Javier +$155.43 2-0 (100.0%)
Erick Fedde +$155.0 3-2 (60.0%)
Dane Dunning +$153.0 3-2 (60.0%)
Kevin Gausman +$146.73 4-1 (80.0%)
Sam Long +$146.34 2-1 (66.7%)
Bailey Ober +$146.18 3-1 (75.0%)
Michael Lorenzen +$143.94 3-1 (75.0%)
Gerrit Cole +$142.61 5-1 (83.3%)
Madison Bumgarner +$139.0 3-3 (50.0%)
Aaron Ashby +$135.8 2-0 (100.0%)
Jimmy Herget +$130.0 1-0 (100.0%)
Miles Mikolas +$125.5 3-2 (60.0%)
Luis Garcia +$125.19 3-1 (75.0%)
Brad Keller +$121.38 3-2 (60.0%)
Humberto Castellanos +$120.0 2-2 (50.0%)
Michael Pineda +$119.1 2-1 (66.7%)
Andrew Heaney +$117.75 2-0 (100.0%)
Brandon Woodruff +$117.5 4-1 (80.0%)
Aaron Civale +$113.92 3-2 (60.0%)
Josh Winder +$110.0 1-0 (100.0%)
Aaron Sanchez +$100.0 1-1 (50.0%)
Tanner Houck +$99.43 2-1 (66.7%)
Ian Anderson +$96.96 3-2 (60.0%)
Max Fried +$89.73 3-2 (60.0%)
Austin Gomber +$88.67 3-2 (60.0%)
Anthony DeSclafani +$85.0 2-1 (66.7%)
Ryan Yarbrough +$80.65 1-0 (100.0%)
Walker Buehler +$79.93 4-1 (80.0%)
Robbie Ray +$78.92 4-2 (66.7%)
Dylan Bundy +$78.67 3-2 (60.0%)
Reid Detmers +$77.93 3-2 (60.0%)
Mike Clevinger +$75.76 1-0 (100.0%)
Jake Odorizzi +$69.73 3-2 (60.0%)
Jeffrey Springs +$66.67 1-0 (100.0%)
Nabil Crismatt +$64.52 1-0 (100.0%)
Yu Darvish +$61.44 3-2 (60.0%)
Clayton Kershaw +$59.45 3-1 (75.0%)
Kyle Hendricks +$57.61 3-3 (50.0%)
Daniel Lynch +$53.0 2-2 (50.0%)
Tommy Romero +$47.62 1-0 (100.0%)
Nick Martinez +$38.01 2-2 (50.0%)
Michael Kopech +$34.45 3-2 (60.0%)
Kyle Gibson +$24.14 3-2 (60.0%)
Shane Bieber +$23.37 3-2 (60.0%)
Kyle Bradish +$23.0 1-1 (50.0%)
Casey Mize +$20.0 1-1 (50.0%)
Dakota Hudson +$16.47 3-2 (60.0%)
Ross Stripling +$13.63 2-2 (50.0%)
Matt Manning +$12.0 1-1 (50.0%)
Zach Davies +$12.0 2-3 (40.0%)
Josh Rogers +$10.0 1-2 (33.3%)
Jesus Luzardo +$7.91 2-2 (50.0%)
Corey Kluber +$7.89 3-2 (60.0%)
Drew Smyly +$3.29 2-2 (50.0%)
Adrian Houser -$0.93 2-2 (50.0%)
Martin Perez -$3.0 2-3 (40.0%)
Jose Urquidy -$3.04 2-2 (50.0%)
Chris Bassitt -$6.9 3-2 (60.0%)
Tarik Skubal -$10.24 2-2 (50.0%)
Julio Urias -$10.82 3-2 (60.0%)
Carlos Rodon -$11.66 3-2 (60.0%)
Nestor Cortes Jr. -$18.7 3-2 (60.0%)
Matt Wisler -$19.35 1-1 (50.0%)
Freddy Peralta -$24.15 3-2 (60.0%)
Justin Verlander -$24.41 3-2 (60.0%)
Noah Syndergaard -$25.89 2-2 (50.0%)
Vince Velasquez -$27.38 2-2 (50.0%)
Glenn Otto -$29.58 1-1 (50.0%)
Mark Leiter Jr. -$30.0 1-2 (33.3%)
Tony Gonsolin -$30.07 3-2 (60.0%)
Chris Archer -$30.99 2-3 (40.0%)
Rich Hill -$40.0 2-2 (50.0%)
Justin Steele -$48.0 2-3 (40.0%)
Jose Suarez -$52.13 2-2 (50.0%)
Tyler Anderson -$61.54 1-1 (50.0%)
Taylor Hearn -$65.0 2-3 (40.0%)
Nick Lodolo -$65.0 1-2 (33.3%)
Chris Paddack -$65.62 2-2 (50.0%)
Cal Quantrill -$69.0 2-3 (40.0%)
Shohei Ohtani -$69.8 2-2 (50.0%)
Jon Gray -$70.0 1-2 (33.3%)
Adam Wainwright -$73.6 3-3 (50.0%)
German Marquez -$77.97 2-3 (40.0%)
MacKenzie Gore -$92.86 2-2 (50.0%)
Caleb Smith -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Alex Faedo -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Luis Cessa -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Connor Overton -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Matt Bush -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Trevor Williams -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Ryan Feltner -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Tyler Gilbert -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Kyle Muller -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
James Kaprielian -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Scott Effross -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Eli Morgan -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Luis Patino -$100.0 0-1 (0.0%)
Kyle Freeland -$113.64 2-3 (40.0%)
Alex Cobb -$120.0 1-2 (33.3%)
Carlos Carrasco -$135.02 2-3 (40.0%)
Sandy Alcantara -$136.12 2-3 (40.0%)
Hunter Greene -$143.0 1-3 (25.0%)
Jordan Hicks -$145.95 1-2 (33.3%)
Zach Eflin -$147.74 2-3 (40.0%)
Matt Brash -$149.61 2-3 (40.0%)
Nathan Eovaldi -$151.86 2-3 (40.0%)
Alex Wood -$158.09 2-3 (40.0%)
Sean Manaea -$169.02 2-3 (40.0%)
Jordan Montgomery -$178.21 2-3 (40.0%)
Shane McClanahan -$188.48 2-3 (40.0%)
Frankie Montas -$190.95 2-4 (33.3%)
Zach Thompson -$195.0 1-3 (25.0%)
Corbin Burnes -$198.57 2-3 (40.0%)
Chris Ellis -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Dillon Peters -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Garrett Richards -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Sonny Gray -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Hyun Jin Ryu -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Jimmy Lambert -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Taijuan Walker -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
John Means -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Huascar Ynoa -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Josh Fleming -$200.0 0-2 (0.0%)
Daulton Jefferies -$205.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Marcus Stroman -$205.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Dallas Keuchel -$213.04 1-3 (25.0%)
Lucas Giolito -$228.57 1-3 (25.0%)
Bryce Elder -$241.18 1-3 (25.0%)
Zach Plesac -$267.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Yusei Kikuchi -$270.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Eduardo Rodriguez -$275.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Zack Greinke -$290.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Framber Valdez -$295.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Garrett Whitlock -$300.0 0-3 (0.0%)
Marco Gonzales -$300.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Adam Oller -$300.0 0-3 (0.0%)
Joan Adon -$318.7 1-4 (20.0%)
Chris Flexen -$323.08 1-4 (20.0%)
Trevor Rogers -$328.57 1-4 (20.0%)
Kris Bubic -$335.48 1-4 (20.0%)
Charlie Morton -$344.44 1-4 (20.0%)
Tyler Mahle -$345.0 1-5 (16.7%)
Aaron Nola -$347.37 1-4 (20.0%)
Zack Wheeler -$350.0 1-4 (20.0%)
Carlos Hernandez -$376.0 2-6 (25.0%)
Tyler Alexander -$400.0 0-4 (0.0%)
Reiver Sanmartin -$400.0 0-4 (0.0%)
Vladimir Gutierrez -$500.0 0-5 (0.0%)
Tyler Wells -$500.0 0-5 (0.0%)
Nick Pivetta -$500.0 0-5 (0.0%)
Mitch Keller -$500.0 0-5 (0.0%)
Patrick Corbin -$600.0 0-6 (0.0%)

Betting records as of May 5, 2022

 

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