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September 28, 2022

Since 2009, 10 of 13 Super Bowl champs had a winning record against the spread through...

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NFL Week 4 Previews

September 26, 2022

It was a good weekend to be a ‘dog in the NFL. While most of the betting world had both...

4330

NFL Power Rankings

September 21, 2022

The NFL Power Rankings are back for Week 4, but they look a bit different than in the...

4327

Week 3 NFL ATS TRENDS

September 21, 2022

Thursday, Sept. 22 Pittsburgh at Cleveland (Prime Video, 8:15 p.m.) Steelers have won and...

4321

NFL Week 3 Betting Previews

September 21, 2022

NFL WEEK 3 BETTING LINES The largest point spreads while looking at NFL Week 3 odds...

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Archived: College Football Week 3

September 14, 2022

Michigan State +3.5 at Washington, over/under: 57. Traveling to Seattle from East...


NFL Week 2 Betting Previews

September 14, 2022

 

What a GREAT WEEKEND overall for us in Week 1 as we go 15-5 Overall!

This Week should be even stronger as we have a week under our belt to evaluate!

Click Here for Hank’s Winning Packages!

If you’ve followed me in the past, you know that the second week of the season tends to have a lot of overreactions in the betting market. A lot of my plays this week will simply be that. A team looks really good or really bad in the first week, and we see a drastic swing in the market. I’ll be looking to take advantage of those scenarios this week as well as some others. Let’s dive in.

Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 (-110) vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Keenan Allen is unlikely to play, so that’ll make life easier for the Chiefs’ defense on a short week but I think this is an overreaction to how the Chargers have played the Chiefs over the past few seasons. The Chiefs have the better offense, and they’re better suited than the Raiders to keep the Chargers’ pass rush in check. I’m a big Justin Herbert fan, but the Chargers didn’t exactly light up the Raiders last week once Allen left the game. I’ll take the Chiefs here with Allen not playing and J.C. Jackson’s status in question (though I think he plays). After all, I’m getting the better quarterback in this game with Patrick Mahomes. I think people might be forgetting that a little bit.

New York Jets +6 (-110) at Cleveland Browns

This is one of those overreactions. The Jets got beat pretty well by the Ravens in Week 1 and didn’t look too great, but they were in that game through halftime. I’m super low on the Jets and don’t care for Joe Flacco leading this offense but Jacoby Brissett isn’t much better. My numbers make this closer to +4 and with the Browns likely to lean on their running game, a shorter game should help the Jets stay within the number. There is almost no threat of an explosive passing game from the Browns here so if the Jets can find any success on offense, they’ll be able to cover here. Or at the very least the backdoor will be open for Flacco to lead us to the window to cash this ticket.

Carolina Panthers ML +115 at New York Giants

Another overreaction to a result last week. The Giants upset the Tennessee Titans, and the market is now inflating their rating just a week later. Saquon Barkley looked healthy last week which should help the Giants’ offense, but Daniel Jones is still too turnover prone and just simply isn’t a good NFL quarterback. The Giants were aided by a couple of big plays last week; without those, the offense couldn’t get anything going consistently. If the Panthers can limit the big plays, the Giants should struggle to move the ball, giving favorable field position to Baker Mayfield and the offense. Mayfield can be a bit careless with the ball too, but he’s definitely better than Jones. Shop around to see if there are any 3s available as I’d love to have a field goal here. But one of my other good sources says the Giants in this one. SO CHECK BACK on GameDay or Be a part of my Highroller Club to get the best Advice on this one.

Click Here for Hank’s Winning Packages!

Arizona Cardinals +6 (-110) at Las Vegas Raiders

The Cardinals got absolutely smoked by the Chiefs last week, but they face a much less formidable foe this week. Oh, and yeah, this is likely an overreaction to that blowout loss. I only like this if you’re getting six considering the injury report for the Cardinals right now so make sure to shop around for the best price. But I just can’t get behind this Raiders team with how bad their offensive line is. Derek Carr is a solid quarterback but he was begging to turn the ball over last week against the Chargers. Pro Football Focus credited Carr with a turnover-worthy play on 11.4% of his plays last week. For reference, that number was below 4% for Carr last season. If Carr is going to play like that behind this offensive line, the Raiders are going to be a fade until the market adjusts for me. On the other side of the ball, the Cardinals are banged up but if they can get some of these injuries cleared up before Sunday, this line should come off of +6.

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