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4638

Chiefs vs 49ers Superbowl Preview

January 29, 2024

The San Francisco 49ers opened as 2-point favorites over the Kansas City Chiefs in...

4627

College Basketball ATS Records

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Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/- Cal St Nrdge 13-2-0 86.7% 8.7 +6.4 Troy 11-2-1 84.6%...

4623

NBA ATS RECORDS

January 16, 2024

    Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/- Okla City 26-12-1 68.4% 8.7 +5.9 Philadelphia...

4591

NBA Title Odds

November 3, 2023

We’re into the 2024 portion of the 2023-24 NBA regular season, and the Boston...

4534

US Stadiums with Sportsbooks

August 21, 2023

In the past few years, the sports gambling industry has completely taken off and...

4513

NFL Strength of Schedule

August 17, 2023

As the NFL season begins, we can figure out which teams have the easiest and hardest...


Archived: MLB Betting Report

April 14, 2021

2021 MLB Underdog Moneyline Profits

MLB 2021 Underdog SU Records
Situation Underdog SU Records Profits
OVERALL 77-82 (48.4%) +$2,056.57
HOME 29-32 (47.5%) +$586.16
ROAD 48-50 (49.0%) +$1,470.41
LAST 3 DAYS 20-20 (50.0%) +$721.09
LAST 7 DAYS 38-49 (43.7%) +$381.24
LAST 14 DAYS 77-82 (48.4%) +$2,056.57
LAST 30 DAYS 77-82 (48.4%) +$2,056.57

Betting records as of April 14, 2021

With MLB underdogs winning outright 48.4 percent of the time, profits are remaining steady for bettors. If you had backed every MLB underdog so far this season, you’d be up to $2,056.57 in profit. Not a bad return but obviously it could be better.

Road underdogs are crushing it so far this season at 48-50 SU through 98 games and are clearly holding this trend together with profits of $1,470.41 for $100 bettors. MLB, unlike what I reported in the NBA Underdog Report, is a bit different than its sports brethren with its home underdogs being dead weight while road dogs are shouldering the load.

With so many games each day, it’s important to look at the splits to see how this MLB underdog trend is faring. Over the last seven days, it hasn’t been profitable but if you take that sample size and whittle it down to the last three days, you’ll see underdogs are rebounding for moneyline bettors.


2021 MLB Underdog Runline Profits

MLB 2021 Underdog ATS Records
Situation Underdog ATS Records Profits
OVERALL 97-63 (60.6%) +$629.65
HOME 35-26 (57.4%) +$179.82
ROAD 61-37 (62.2%) +$389.22
LAST 3 DAYS 25-15 (62.5%) +$180.61
LAST 7 DAYS 51-36 (58.6%) +$105.06
LAST 14 DAYS 97-63 (60.6%) +$629.65
LAST 30 DAYS 97-63 (60.6%) +$629.65

Betting records as of April 14, 2021

Personally, I don’t usually bet or recommend bettors play +1.5 runlines for MLB underdogs. The juice is often such a squeeze that bettors likely have to wager more than $100 each time just to make the potential returns worth it and then the team you back could still lose by two runs anyway.

However, the fact remains that if you had blindly bet $100 on the +1.5 runline for every MLB underdog, you would have profits, even if they’re minimal at best. When you look at the underdog runline record and see 97-63, that would obviously get bettors excited because an angle is hitting at 60.6 percent. The issue, as I mentioned, is most +1.5 runline odds are -200, or worse in some cases, which seriously negates potential profits. That’s why just taking the moneyline instead of the +1.5 runline in MLB is the more sound investment long term.

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